Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.033474 0.039000 0.045082 0.052264 0.060502 0.069646 0.080554
2025-08-31 0.024499 0.031508 0.039940 0.050792 0.064346 0.080672 0.101778
2025-09-07 0.020044 0.028080 0.038516 0.052970 0.072362 0.097363 0.131897
2025-09-14 0.016132 0.024414 0.035931 0.052954 0.077277 0.110545 0.159201
2025-09-21 0.012880 0.020924 0.032833 0.051504 0.079731 0.120426 0.183025
2025-09-28 0.010652 0.018463 0.030703 0.050939 0.083120 0.131730 0.209910
2025-10-05 0.009626 0.017669 0.030917 0.053863 0.091988 0.151944 0.252121
2025-10-12 0.008601 0.016666 0.030591 0.055779 0.099366 0.170511 0.293624
2025-10-19 0.007225 0.014780 0.028450 0.054263 0.100758 0.179462 0.320387
2025-10-26 0.006241 0.013433 0.027030 0.053754 0.103705 0.191133 0.352652
2025-11-02 0.005288 0.011969 0.025155 0.052104 0.104321 0.198721 0.378450
2025-11-09 0.004529 0.010759 0.023574 0.050758 0.105262 0.206850 0.405815
2025-11-16 0.003996 0.009954 0.022710 0.050764 0.108895 0.220466 0.444976
2025-11-23 0.003425 0.008956 0.021293 0.049438 0.109724 0.228888 0.475255
2025-11-30 0.003202 0.008733 0.021517 0.051618 0.117959 0.252431 0.536935
2025-12-07 0.002853 0.008134 0.020803 0.051630 0.121616 0.267216 0.582675
2025-12-14 0.002464 0.007355 0.019546 0.050228 0.122015 0.275359 0.615683
2025-12-21 0.002178 0.006790 0.018711 0.049684 0.124236 0.287473 0.657976
2025-12-28 0.002096 0.006780 0.019256 0.052544 0.134575 0.317891 0.741734
2026-01-04 0.001972 0.006622 0.019398 0.054418 0.142795 0.344412 0.819334
2026-01-11 0.001720 0.006027 0.018287 0.052937 0.142769 0.352525 0.857076
2026-01-18 0.001536 0.005608 0.017590 0.052440 0.145093 0.366172 0.908399
2026-01-25 0.001337 0.005094 0.016537 0.050828 0.144397 0.372697 0.943936